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- G.Mohan
Broadcasting my thoughts
Readers of this blog are requested to check out my other blog http://businessbaatein.wordpress.com for latest posts and quizzes. Twitter enthusiasts can follow me on http://twitter.com/go_mohan
- G.Mohan
Posted in Diversions.
– December 6, 2009
The headline news in todays’ Hindu is “Centre gives big push to disinvestment.”
In a major thrust to the disinvestment programme, the Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA) on Thursday decided that all listed Central Public Sector Enterprises (CPSEs) would offload 10 per cent of their holding in the public domain and all unlisted profitable state-owned entities should go public.
The decision will have a bearing on the mineral major NMDC and MMTC as the public shareholding in these companies is 1.62 and 0.67 per cent.
Normally, I would have welcomed this news, just like the way many stock-analysts have. Because, I have held the view that the government has no business to be in business, except a few strategic sectors. Yet, some of the recent events make me rethink about my view, particularly with reference to mining and minerals sector, to which both NMDC and MMTC belong.
Firstly, the news of the raids on Madhu Koda, the former Chief Minister of Jharkhand and also the Minister of Mines in the Arjun Munda BJP government. Madhu Koda is accused of massive corruption, involving thousands of crores. In an article on Madhu Koda, Times of India says :
Madhu Koda’s meteoric rise would have normally made for a heartwarming story. Once a labourer in iron-ore mines, he won assembly elections from
Jharkhand in 2000. Five years later and only in his mid-thirties, he was appointed state minister for mines in a BJP-led government. From 2006 to 2008 he was the Jharkhand chief minister. But now Koda stands accused of being part of a massive corruption scandal and faces the possibility of arrest.
Although, the investigations are still going on, it is safe to assume that in the mineral-rich Jharkhand, Koda made his wealth from kickbacks on mineral rights.
Miles away in the southern state of Karnataka, the BJP Government of BS Yeddyurappa is facing a huge crisis, where the Reddy brothers have withdrawn support to the government. On Reddy brothers’ contribution to the BJP government, Tehelka reports :
Karunakara, Somashekhar and Janardhan Reddy along with B. Sriramulu (a close associate and virtually a part of the family) played a crucial role in first helping the BJP garner 110 seats, and later by playing a key role in securing the support of the six independents to help Yeddyurappa realise his dream of heading the first BJP government in Karnataka. It is reported that the Reddy brothers, who made their millions mining iron ore, paid the independent candidates Rs 25 crore each in return for their support to the BJP government.
In the same article, the rise of the Reddys is chronicled.
Who are the Reddy brothers and how did they come to dominate Karnataka's political scene? Sons of a police constable, stories abound of the time when the Reddy brothers criss-crossed dusty Bellary roads on a twowheeler as they attempted to establish (and later save) a non-banking financial institution,Ennoble Savings and Investment India Pvt. Ltd. The company wound up in 1998, with complaints of fraud and cheating to the tune of Rs 200 crore.
Their rise in political circles mirrored their rise as mining magnets, cashing in on the international iron-ore export boom that hit the region. As managing directors of the Obalapuram Mining Company, the Reddy brothers oversee mining operations in Anantapur (in Andhra Pradesh), a district bordering Bellary. Sriramulu is managing director of the same company. When China started to import iron ore for its rapidly growing infrastructure needs, the Reddy brothers catapulted to the big league. Their assets are known to run into thousands of crores of rupees; in an Income Tax department raid in October 2007, the Reddy brothers reportedly paid a few crore rupees as dues. A much talked about asset is the fleet of helicopters that the brothers use frequently, often lending them to the BJP as well.
FOR MANY, the rise of the Reddy brothers signifies a tale beyond the pauper to a king story. Says Gauri Lankesh, editor of Lankesh, a leading independent weekly in Karnataka, "It is ridiculous to reduce it to that or to bemoan the entry of unscrupulous elements into politics. Let's not forget that the political influence that the Reddy brothers wield today is a consequence of the opening of the export licences in the mining sector. Nobody draws the link between the stench in politics thanks to mining and real estate magnates and the economic policies of liberalisation that the country is following. Bellary and the Reddy brothers are merely a microcosm of the meshing together of the political and economic elite."
Unrelated to the above, but, in the same iron-ore industry, the Anil Agarwal owned Sesa Goa is facing a SFIO probe reports Business Standard :
The government has ordered the SFIO to probe into mismanagement and financial irregularities in Vedanta Group-owned Sesa Goa and its subsidiary Sesa Industries (SIL), the company said today.
“The scope of (SFIO) investigation include looking into the state of affairs of the company and its subsidiary Sesa Industries Ltd, in respect of mismanagement, malpractices, financial and other irregularities,” Sesa Goa said in a filing to the Bombay Stock Exchange.
The jury is still out on Anil Agarwal’s meteoric rise, whether it is his ability to turnaround public sector companies like Hindustan Zinc and BALCO or his ability to befriend high and mighty in India and abroad to buy public sector assets below their intrinsic value. There is no doubt that his rise from the Patna lad who left school at 15 to become the owner of 10 bn $ Vedanta resources is clearly linked to the Mines and Metals industry.
In a column in Business Standard, Latha Jishnu quoted Raghuram Rajan, the Chief Economic Advisor to the PM,
"Too many people have gotten too rich based on their proximity to the government. If Russia is an oligarchy, how long can we resist calling India one?" It is his contention that reforms have created new sources of rents for the establishment, specially from the allocation of scarce national resources. This means that barring a few exceptions most of India's billionaires have been created through sweet deals in land, mining, coal, oil and gas.
Madhu Koda, Reddy brothers, Anil Agarwal, all examples of billionaires who have a rags to riches story and their wealth comes from sweet deals in mining.
What is better ? National wealth which lies underground being given away for exploitation and development in the name of privatisation through sweet deals to crony capitalists leaving the country and its citizens poor, or let this industry be with the Public Sector, even if it is inefficient and corrupt ?
Cross-posted from http://businessbaatein.wordpress.com
Posted in News analysis.
– November 7, 2009
Bharti Airtel in the mobile services and Nokia in handsets are the market leaders and it was generally expected that this would remain that way. Suddenly, things are beginning to change.
In the last two months, Tata Teleservices, through its innovative plans in both Tata Indicom and its GSM brand Tata DOCOMO have the highest subscriber addition as reported by Business Standard.
Tata Teleservices, the company which started the per second billing model early this year, added 40 lakh (4 million) new subscribers in September, while Bharti Airtel managed only 25 lakh (2.5 million) subscriber additions.
This has got reflected in the Bharti stock, which is hitting new lows everyday. In the last 2 months, it has lost over 33% in value.
The price war that Tata Teleservices has begun has not helped it either. In FY '09, it made a loss of Rs 2505 crore, as reported by Indiatimes.
Nokia, the Finnish cellphone manufacturer, reported its first quarterly loss in a decade. Fonearena reports that :
Nokia has reported its Q3 2009 results and it reported an operating loss of 426 million euros compared to an operating profit of 1.5 billion euros Q3 2008. This is said to be Nokia's first quarterly loss in over a decade. There has been a 20% drop in sales year over year mainly due to recession.
This loss highlights the fact that Nokia haven't been able to bring better handsets faster to the market than it's competitors. Another problem is the lack of trust of the brand in North America where Apple has captured a huge market share with the iPhone.
It will be interesting to watch if the very clever Shahrukh Khan who endorses for both Airtel and Nokia, will switch sides as their leadership position is beginning to threatened. With no release in 2009, SRK's position in Bollwood is also no better.
Posted in News analysis.
– October 31, 2009
The Sunday supplement of the Deccan Chronicle carried this Quiz .
Q1. Kanchan Choudhury, India's first woman DGP inspired a TV serial where the lead role was played by her sister. The sister is known to millions of Indians as Lalitaji of Surf. Name her.
Ans : Kavita Choudhary. Udaan
Q2. David Whitbread, model co-ordinator and production stylist played the role of which popular ad character for over 14 years?
Ans: Onida Devil
Q3. Filmstars Ayesha Takia and Shahid Kapoor together appeared in which ad as kids?
Ans: Complan
Q4. Karen Hishey teaches school children in New Zealand. What is her connection to Indian advertising?
Ans : Karen Hishey nee Lunel was the original Liril girl
Q5. Tiger Pataudi was the Gwalior Suitings man, Sunil Gavaskar appeared for Dinesh Suitings, Digjam had Shekhar Kapur. Which brand did Vivian Richards and Ravi Shastri endorse?
Ans : Vimal
Q6. Ved Pal Sharma composed music for films such as Souten ki Beti. His most famous creation was for an ad. Identify.
Ans : Nirma. Ved Pal composed the much recalled ‘Washing Powder Nirma’
Q7. Jeevan and Hanu, the kid and the monkey were two cartoon characters that educated kids on which company in the 80s?
Ans : LIC
Q8. Kanwarjit Paintal known for playing Shikhandi in Mahabharat TV serial, appeared in which vintage bulb ad?
Ans : ECE bulbs
Q9. Vicks ki goli lo, khich khich door karo. This ad for Vicks where Jayant Kriplani appeared along with a little girl made Jayant famous. The little girl grew up to be an actress and anchor. Name her.
Ans : Ishita Arun, daughter of Ila Arun
Q10. Cricketer Farokh Engineer and Kishore Kumar have both endorsed which brand now owned by Sara Lee?
Ans : Brylcreem
Q11. Ankita Jhaveri currently based in LA made her mark as a star in Telugu film industry. How did she become darling of millions of people in India, much before she entered the film industry?
Ans : She is the I love you Rasna girl
Posted in Trivia Bank.
– October 26, 2009
The Economic Times reported on 22nd of October that Mr Ranjan Das, MD of SAP India died yesterday after a massive heart stroke in his Mumbai residence. He was 42 years old. He is survived by his wife and two kids.
I do not know him. I have never met him and I have not even followed his career closely to be qualified to write an obituary. An obituary written by Shyamanuja Das has been published by Dataquest. Yet, his death has set me thinking and perhaps, many other professionals in the IT industry are also doing the same.
Ranjan Das, hailed from Assam and had one of the finest education. A BS in Engineering from MIT, USA and an MBA from Harvard. He had a great career with stints in Oracle, Tech-entrpreneur in Silicon Valley, SAP America and then in 2007 taking charge as MD of SAP India. As the Dataquest obit says, he made SAP India the largest software company in India, beating Microsoft.
By most professional yardsticks, it was a fantastic career and he was a young achiever. Most professionals would envy him for his achievements.
From newspieces it appears that he was a fitness freak. He even ran the Chennai Marathon recently. An interesting video interview of his after the Chennai Marathon is published in this blog. Where, he has promised to return with his SAP team next year. Yet, it will not be.
Did he have to die so young ?
I can only guess that he was very ambitious and so driven towards success but he forgot that he was afterall a human being. The drive that he had for his work, he brought to his running too. In a telling comment about his drive, he remarks “My initial goal was to complete the race and then it was completing it in 70 mins. Later, when I saw I had set himself a good pace, I shifted the goal to 60 minutes and I achieved it too, along with another colleague.”
Ranjan Das is not an exception. There are several professionals like him in the IT sector, who are punishing themselves or pressured by their organisations to gruelling routines and obscene levels of stress. Das’s untimely death will surely raise an alarm and force them to reflect.
Reflecting on questions like ;
What is the meaning of all the success, if the price is your life ?
How far and how long can you stretch your body, beyond the normal, without it breaking down ?
Is the pursuit of marketshare, market leadership in a meaningless product like ERP software, really worth giving your life for ? ( Pardon me for saying that ERP software is meaningless. ERP does not fulfil any basic human need such as food, clothing or shelter. It does not wipe a tear or bring a smile. ERP software just adds a few basis points to corporate profit margins , so that the rich shareholders become richer.)
Who will cry when a software company’s CEO dies ?
When should you say enough is enough, before it is too late ?
All inconvenient questions with no easy answers.
May Ranjan Das’s soul rest in peace.
-G.Mohan
Posted in News analysis.
– October 23, 2009
The Prime Minister and the Minister of Corporate Affairs, Salman Khurshid, have made statements about the need for restraint among corporates to restrain CEO salaries. RIL Chairman, even made an announcemnt of a 66% cut in his salrary, as an example of a business leader, who is walking the talk on this matter.
National Stock Exchange of India Ltd (NSE), the company which runs the leading stock exchange in the country was setup in 1992, when PM Mr Manmohan Singh was the finance minister. The exchange was promoted by several public sector banks, financial services and insurance companies. The list of promoters taken from the NSE web-site is given below
Posted in News analysis.
– October 18, 2009
Here is a short quiz. Which is the largest selling brand of FM Radio in India ? Which is the largest selling brand of music players in the country ? The answers for both the question is the same.
Nokia.
If you are surprised that how a mobile phone vendor is the largest brand in FM and music player. The answer is simple. The cellphones of today are multipurpose devices, voice services being just one of the many features. The market leader in cellphone becomes the leader in other segments too.
In cities it is a common sight to see security guards and waiting drivers, playing music on their cellphone to battle their boredom.
Seeing the opportunity of selling legally copyrighted music to these new customers of music T-Series has launched music in Micro SD cards and USB pen-drives with the Bollywood movie Blue. The Micro SD card is priced at Rs 475 and the USB pen drive 2GB is priced at Rs 525.
Nokia already has set up an online music store with a huge library of over 30,00,000 songs. Several models of Nokia come with preloaded songs.
The Apple iPods and other MP3 players had already taken the market in the western countries. In India, because of their high price they did not make much of a mark. Micro SD cards played on cellphones has a great future in India. Nearly 400 Million Indians have a cellphone, so if the pricing is right, the market can become significant.
Music loaded in pen drives also has a good prospect. Besides, the desktop and laptop computers, increasingly the set-top boxes provided by DTH operators have a USB port. The only hitch here is that given the easy availability of freely downloadable music on the Internet, customers are unlikely to pay Rs 525 for pen drives many times.
The Micro SD cards and USB drives do offer other opportunities for entrepreneurs. Will the semi-literate cellphone user use his cellphone for eductation ? How about an English speaking course on these cards ? Can audio books on self-improvement and management subjects be published on USB drives for the laptop users ?
What the CD-ROMs could not do can the Micro SD cards and USB drives do ? Some entrepreneurs have to take it up.
Posted in News analysis.
– October 18, 2009
S.Ramadorai (Ram) has relinquished the charge of Managing Director of TCS Ltd and has handed over charge to N.Chandrasekaran, (Chandra). A Business Standard article carried by Rediff has the following to say about Ram’s tenure in TCS.
S Ramadorai has bid farewell to Tata Consultancy Services after being with the organisation for 37 years.
Ramadorai joined as a trainee engineer, worked his way to the highest position in the company. Ramadorai would continue his association with the company as the non-executive vice-chairman. Ramadorai took over as CEO in 1996 and has been instrumental in building TCS to its present day stature.
When he took over, TCS earned just $100 million and had 6000 employees. Under his leadership, the company has grown to be one of the world’s largest global software and services companies.
His favourite quote is: No dream is ever too small, no dream is ever too big.
Being the CEO of a large company for 13 years and taking it from 100 Million $ sales to 6 Billion dollars is no mean achievement. Yet, it is extremely difficult to articulate Ram’s management style or identifying any major steps taken by the company or the IT industry to him.
Ramdorai inherited TCS from FC Kohli who had already identified and clearly laid down the building blocks for TCS business in software and IT services. The key presence in leading markets like US and Europe was already in place. The business model of hiring engineers and programmers from across India and posting them on projects abroad and earning profits by wage arbitrage was well established. Servicing foreign clients from providing offshore centres in India also began in the late’80s.
In a Business India article which came after Ramadorai took over as the CEO from FC Kohli, Mr Kohli had made a terse comment that ” Ramadorai had no vision for TCS, but will acquire it over time.”
The strategy and business model of TCS from the FC Kohli era was scaled up by Ramadorai and his team to levels no one ever thought was possible. Year 2000 presented a great opportunity to scale up this model and create software factories. Even the decision to leverage Y2K was not really a conscious decision by Ram/TCS but being with the flow. The entire Indian IT industry was gearing up for it and having had a headstart in this business TCS and Infosys made the most of it.
There is no clear evidence or information that some of the acquisitions made by TCS were actually driven by any grand vision of Ramadorai. It appears that the CMC acquisition which happened as a part of the disinvestment programme of the Govt of India, was a decision thrust on TCS by Bombay House. The merger of Tata Infotech with TCS also appeared to be a Bombay House decision to strengthen an ailing company. Even the decisions of not launching an IPO at the height of the dot-com boom of ‘99-2000 and finally launching an IPO in 2004 was more a decision of the owners rather than the CEO’s.
It has to be said that after TCS ceased to be a division of Tata Sons and became a public limited company and was declaring results Quarter after quarter, visibility of TCS and Ramadorai improved considerably.
Inspite of his frequent appearances in media as MD of TCS or as an elder spokesperson of the IT industry, Ramadorai’s statements or quotes had minimal substance and little impact. Even his favourites would not credit him of having any charisma. Ramadorai and TCS always looked pale in front of the well-oiled PR machinery of Infosys.
In the last five years after the IPO, even though Ramadorai was the CEO, it was becoming increasingly visible that the day-to-day operations and much of the strategic decisions were being made by the top team particularly the current CEO, Chandra. The recent acquisition of Citi BPO or the organisational restructuring of 2008 were seen as Chandra’s initiatives rather than Ram’s.
Ramadorai had a very minimalist style of management. Being at the helm of affairs of such a large company, yet appearing very aloof. Sometimes he went along with the decisions and initiatives taken by his bosses in Bombay House and sometimes by his team. He did not make any grand statements of vision or put his personal prestige behind any major decision. Yet, he did not do anything silly. He may appear like a bystander, but he was very much on the ball in terms of facts and figures. He had the wisdom to know he had a good thing going in TCS and did not upset the applecart. He floated on the top of TCS unruffled as if he had a teflon coating around him.
Having been the CEO of India’s No 1 IT company , does it make him a great technologist in the Bill Gates mould. Hardly. He had an engineering qualification, but that did not make him a great technologist. He started his life as a hardware engineer. But, the hardware he used to maintain, have long become obsolete. Having grown the sales revenue over 60 times in 13 years, was he a great marketing or consummate deal maker. Perhaps not. Although he would never shy away from meeting clients across the world, he did not show any flair in salesmanship or innovative deal making. Was he a great people person, having managed a company with more than 140,000 employees ? Most probably not. He appeared distinctly uncomfortable in the company of his employees, majority of whom were less than half his age. He was neither liked nor disliked, because most employees did not know what he stood for.
Ramadorai remained an enigma. Ramadorai may not have been anywhere close to the textbook profile of a great corporate leader, yet he leaves the top job at TCS as an extremely successful manager. As Ramadorai moves up as the VC, hoping that the elephant called TCS continues to trundle along on Ram’s luck.
Posted in News analysis.
– October 6, 2009
Agatha Christie |
| Alexander Dumas |
| Alexander the Great |
| Alexander Von Humboldt |
| Andrew Carnegie |
| Catherine II / Peter I the Great |
| Charles Dickens |
| Edgar Allan Poe |
| Ernest Hemingway |
| F. Scott Fitzgerald |
| Franz Kafka |
| Frederich II the Great |
| Friedrich Schiller |
| Fyodor Dostoevsky |
| Golden Dragon |
| Golden Dragon |
| Greta Garbo |
| Hommage a’ Charlemagne |
| Imperial Dragon |
| Johann Bach |
| John Harrison |
| JP Morgan |
| Jules Verne |
| Karl der Grosse (the Great) |
| Leonard Bernstein |
| Loius XIV |
| Lorenzo de’ Medici |
| Marcel Proust |
| Marlene Dietrich |
| Marquis de Pompadour |
| Miguel Cervantes |
| Nicolaus Copernicus |
| Octavian |
| Oscar Wilde |
| Pope Julius II |
| Qing Dynasty |
| Sakura |
| Semiramis |
| Sir George Solti |
| Sir Henry Tate |
| Skeleton |
| The Prince Regent |
| Virginia Woolf |
| Voltaire |
| William Faulkner |
Yehudi Menuhin
|
Posted in News analysis.
– October 3, 2009
It is the festival season now. The Hindus have many festivals and they have a festival for everything. In the North and Eastern India, Vishwakarma Puja was celebrated on September 17th. In the Southern states, the last day of Navrathri ie. the Dasami or Dussehra day is celebrated as Ayudha Puja.
Vishwakarma Puja and Ayudha Puja are ceremonies to worship the Gods who look after the weapons, machines, vehicles, tools and implements used in factories and homes. On this day, the machines and tools are all cleaned up, painted and then a garland is put on them. A tilak of sandalwood paste and vermillion is put on each of the them. On this day, tools are not used, as they are being worshipped. The workmen after the Puja distribute sweets and enjoy the break.
Whereas, the tradition of worshipping these tools and implements continue, the respect and regard for the various crafts like carpentry, smithy, plumbing etc which use these is declining. In urban Indian homes, even minor work which require the use of these tools is outsourced. Yuppies, including qualified engineers, not only consider it infra-dig to dirty their hands and do this work, very often they lack the basic skills needed for using them. In a city like Hyderabad, most likely the artisan you call is likely to be a Muslim. Hindus prefer to theorise and manage, perhaps.
There is something about the Hindu culture or the Indian education system, which devalues the crafts and the vocational skills required to create and repair things. Students are encouraged to study science subjects like physics and chemistry, but they would much rather concentrate on the theory, learn the concept but leave the experiments. Practicals and Laboratory work is often treated as a necessary evil to get through the school final.
In the engineering colleges, even the good ones, which have good laboratories and workshops, there are very few students who spend a lot of time there creating models or prototypes, or generally spending time to hone their craft. I have seen a few of my classmates, making their own music systems by buying components and putting them together. But they are more an exception, than the rule.
India may have a very large pool of scientific and technical manpower, but a miniscule number of them who potter around their homes/ garages, playing with tools and creating new things. Every Indian city now has large number of malls. But I have not seen a single mall in any city which has D.I.Y (Do it yourself) stores which I have seen in the small towns of US and UK.
One can argue that people in US and UK have to do a lot of work on their own, from home painting to fabricating their home furniture because labour is expensive. Labour has become expensive in India too, yet, there is little or no sign that more Indians are learning crafts or working with their hands.
Indians or Hindus were not always this way. Mahatma Gandhi used to weave his own cloth and used to stitch in his Singer sewing machine which he once remarked as ” one of the few useful things ever invented.”
The post-1991 India swears by consumerism.They want to acquire plush houses, fancy cars, designer furniture, latest gadgets.All these things involve crafts of different kinds. Yet, the consuming class would not do anything with their own two hands. They would much rather earn money by means, fair and foul and acquire them. More often than not, the best of the products are not made in India.In the scores of TV programmes on gadgets, rarely you see a single Indian product being discussed.
Among many reasons very few inventions come out of India could be the fact that the scientists are poor in the craft of inventions. Inventors of the 19th and 20th Century like Edison, Edwin Land or Elihu Thomson had not only good scientific concepts, they would work with their hands to produce models and prototypes which led to so many great inventions. Indian scientists work on concepts and publish papers, but very few innovative products. The grassroot innovators have the craft but they lack theoretical grounding, making their products uncompetitive.
The Union Minster of HRD, Kapil Sibal should consider reforms that would bring about the balance in teaching of science and technology where the craft gets its due.
Posted in Anti-matter.
– September 29, 2009