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Wayanad Day 1 - Pookot Lake and Soochippara falls

The year was going to be over and i had missed my big travel this year. Now was the time to do it and i got my cousin Vijay to accompany me to the wild Wayanad. I started off at 10 am from Kothamangalam and picked up Vijay from Trissur and got on a KSRTC bus to Kozhikode. We had food from Kozhikode from where we got a bus to Kalpetta. I had planned the timing so that we could see the thamarassery churam in the beauty of the evening. People in the bus were very cooperative and let us see the whole beauty of the cliff from inside the bus. There was not much cold even when it was december.
At Kalpetta we took a room at Arun Lodge which had accomodation for rs 200 and deluxe room for rs 440. We took the deluxe room and it was really good one. We got some pamplets to work outour plans as we have not planned anything out. The original idea was to spent the whole week at Wayanad.

The next day after some asking around we decided to catch buses to possible locations. Our list had Pookot lake, Chain tree, Tamarassery Churam, Soochippara Fallas, Meenmutty falls and Kanthampara falls. We took a but to Vythiri from where we got an Auto to pookot lake. Rs 10 entry fees and Rs 10 for the camera, then the boating costed Rs 30 for 20 mins. We can have a walk around te lake and sit around taking photos and enjoying the beauty of the lake. We can pedal around in the pedal boat and go to the Ambal group to one end and make it back within 20 mins.

  

They will keep extra rs 30 as security if you extend the stay in water for more than 20 mins. We got back in time though. I bought some jungle honey and Then nellikka. We walked bac to the bus stop and tok the next bus to lakkidi.

We had a difficult time finding the chain tree. It was not much, but a big chan fixed to the ground after going rounf a big tree. Legend has it that a wild mans ghost is being imprisoned that way. This guy supposedly helped the British officer make the Thamarassery pass and the officer killed hi to take all the credit of the find. Te Ghost was wreaking havoc on all vehicles passing thriugh the pass and he was eventually captured and chained to the tree.

From Wayanad Dec 21 08

We walked back to the Thamarassery pass and walked down some hair pins. There are 9 hairpins and the sight below is breath taking.

From Wayanad Dec 21 08

After a photo shoot and some fruits from the vendors there we decided to head back. We got bus to Kalpetta and then to a place called Meppadi. From mepadi we had a bus to soochippara junction. Bus to this place is a rare find and from the stop itself there is a trek of 2 kms to reach the falls. Lots of people were there majorly consisting of college and school students on tour.

From Wayanad Dec 21 08

We had food after 1km which consisted of Kerala Rice and Fish fry. One our way down the mountain slope we went to the wrong directon (left) and ended up at a small falls which we thought was the original falls. Now there was no way to go down, but we managed down and had a bath. On our way back in order to get back and head for other places in the list we saw the original route. We heard whistles and shouts from that direction and following the trail ended up at the real Soochipara falls. Now we decided to cancel all other destnations and to enjoy here. The thing is that there are no guards or any kind of safety system at the place. The endeavour was dangerous of sorts as any one cal slip on the slippery rocks and fall into the rushing water. But the effect of standing under the white misty falls was heavenly. Me and my cousin spent some time under the falls and i swam my way back to the  shore after some cooling off in the freezing water.

From Wayanad Dec 21 08

We reached back at the junction at 6 and we found that it was already dark.. There was no humans in sight or any other vehicles. We decided to walk back all the wayand after some walk we got a jeep. If we could not have gotten that jeep then it would have been some night. We got back to our room at 8 and had some food. Then we did some planning for the next day and went to sleep.


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Importance of having friends


Check this funny cartoon



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Share your unique knowledge


Hi ilanders. I had this idea in the back of my head to start a platform where we can share our unique knowledge with others. Every one learns a lot of things in their life which is unique to them. We may try out different approaches towards a problem and come out successful or unsuccessful. We can share these experiences with others so that it may help them when they are making similar decisions. Also with us getting older we learn big wisdom about life in general. This can only be learned through living and sharing such precious experience and information can be a life saver for others. Some times we decide to take alternate paths or approaches to life other than what the society imposes or proposes. This may end up successful or unsuccessful depending on how you really did it. Sharing this can induce confidence and strength for others to take strong decisions and move forward. Do join me in this venture and share your unique insights on life. Below is the link to the social network i had setup. You can join using your openID if you have a blogger account.

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Bhagath Singh - The Atheist

This is a gem found in Indian Skeptic site. A complete repost. The photo captured on phone from an exhibition. We have never scene such a face of bhagath singh.

*Why I Am An Atheist

By Bhagat Singh [written in jail in Oct. 1930]*

*He would have been 100 years old on 27 September 2007. *

*But, Bhagat Singh died a matyr at just 23 and a half years.


A new
question has cropped up. Is it due to vanity that I do not believe in
the existence of an omnipotent, omnipresent and omniscient God? I had
never imagined that I would ever have to confront such a question. But
conversation with some friends has given me, a hint that certain of
my friends, if I am not claiming too much in thinking them to be so
- are inclined to conclude from the brief contact they have had with
me, that it was too much on my part to deny the existence of God and
that there was a certain amount of vanity that actuated my disbelief.
Well, the problem is a serious one. I do not boast to be quite above
these human traits. I am a man and nothing more. None can claim to be
more. I also have this weakness in me. Vanity does form a part of my
nature. Amongst my comrades I was called an autocrat. Even my friend
Mr. B.K. Dutt sometimes called me so. On certain occasions I was decried
as a despot. Some friends do complain and very seriously too that I
involuntarily thrust my opinions upon others and get my proposals accepted.
That this is true up to a certain extent, I do not deny. This may amount
to egotism. There is vanity in me in as much as our cult as opposed
to other popular creeds is concerned. But that is not personal. It may
be, it is only legitimate pride in our cult and does not amount to vanity.
Vanity or to be more precise "Ahankar" is the excess of undue pride
in one's self. Whether it is such an undue pride that has led me to
atheism or whether it is after very careful study of the subject and
after much consideration that I have come to disbelieve in God, is a
question that I, intend to discuss here. Let me first make it clear
that egotism and vanity are two different things.


In the
first place, I have altogether failed to comprehend as to how undue
pride or vaingloriousness could ever stand in the way of a man in believing
in God. I can refuse to recognize the greatness of a really great man
provided I have also achieved a certain amount of popularity without
deserving it or without having possessed the qualities really essential
or indispensible for the same purpose. That much is conceivable. But
in what way can a man believing in God cease believing due to his personal
vanity? There are only two Ways. The man should either begin to think
himself a rival of God or he may begin to believe himself to be God.
In neither case can he become a genuine atheist. In the first case he
does not even deny the existence of his rival. In the second case as
well he admits the existence of a conscious being behind the screen
guiding all the movements of nature.It is of no importance to us whether he
thinks himself to be that supreme being or whether he thinks the supreme
conscious being to be somebody apart from himself. The fundamental is there. His
belief is there. He is by no means an atheist. Well, here I am I neither belong
to the first category nor to the second. I deny the very existence of that
Almighty Supreme being. Why I deny it shall be dealt with later on. Here I want
to clear one thing, that it is not vanity that has actuated me to adopt the
doctrines of atheism. I am neither a rival nor an incarnation nor the Supreme
Being Himself. One point is decided, that it is not vanity that has led me to
this mode of thinking. Let me examine the facts to disprove this allegation.
According to these friends of mine I have grown vainglorious perhaps due to the
undue popularity gained during the trials-both Delhi Bomb and Lahore conspiracy
cases. Well, let us see if their premises are correct. My atheism is
not of so recent origin. I had stopped believing in God when I was an
obscure young man, of whose existence my above mentioned friends were
not even aware. At least a college student cannot cherish any short
of undue pride which may lead him to atheism. Though a favourite with
some professors and disliked by certain others, I was never an industrious
or a studious boy. I could not get any chance of indulging in such feelings
as vanity. I was rather a boy with a very shy nature, who had certain
pessimistic dispositions about the future career' And in those days,
I was not a perfect atheist. My grand-father under whose
influence I was brought up is an orthodox Arya Samajist. An Arya Samajist
is anything but an atheist. After finishing my primary education I joined
the D.A.V. School of Lahore and stayed in its Boarding House for full
one year. There, apart from morning and evening prayers, I used to recite
"Gayatri Mantra" for hours and hours. I was a perfect devotee in
those days. Later on I began to live with my father. He is a liberal
in as much as the orthodoxy of religions is concerned. It was through
his teachings that I aspired to devote my life to the cause of freedom.
But he is not an atheist. He is a firm believer. He used to encourage
me for offering prayers daily. So, this is how I was brought up. In
the Non-Co-operation days I joined the National College. it was there
that I began to think liberally and discuss and criticise all the religious
problems, even about God. But still I was a devout believer. By that
time I had begun to preserve the unshorn and unclipped long hair but
I could never believe in the mythology and doctrines of Sikhism or,
any other religion. But I had a firm faith in God's existence.


Later
on I joined the revolutionary party. The first leader with whom I came
in contact, though not convinced, could not dare to deny the existence
of God. On my persistent inquiries about God, he used to say, "Pray
whenever you want to". Now this is atheism less courage required for
the adoption of that creed. The second leader with whom I came in contact
was a firm believer. Let me mention his name-respected comrade Sachindra
Nath Sanyal, now undergoing life transportation in connexion with the
Karachi conspiracy case. From the every first page of his famous and
only book, "Bandi Jivan" (or Incarcerated Life), the Glory of God
is sung vehemently. In the last page of the second part of that beautiful
book his mystic-because of vedantism - praises showered upon God form
a very conspicuous part of his thoughts. "The Revolutionary leaflet"
distributed- throughout India on January 28th 1925, was according to
the prosecution story the result of his intellectual labour, Now, as
is inevitable in the secret work the prominent leader expresses his
own views-which are very dear to his person and the rest of the workers
have to acquiesce in them-in spite of differences, which they might
have. In that leaflet one full paragraph was devoted to praise the Almighty
and His rejoicings and doing. That is all mysticism. What I wanted to
point out was that the idea of disbelief had not even germinated in
the revolutionary party. The famous Kakori martyrs-all four of them-passed
their last day in prayers. Ram Prasad Bismil was an orthodox Arya Samajist.
Despite his wide studies in the field of Socialism and Communism, Rajen
Labiri could not suppress his desire, of reciting hymns of the Upanishads
and the Gita. I saw only one man amongst them, who never prayed and
used to say, "Philosophy is the outcome of human weakness or limitation
of knowledge". He is also undergoing a sentence of transportation
for life. But he also never
dared to deny the existence of God.


Up to
that period I was only a romantic idealist revolutionary. Uptil then
we were to follow. Now came the time to shoulder the whole responsibility.
Due to the inevitable reaction for some time the very existence of the
Party seemed impossible. Enthusiastic comrades-nay leaders-began to
jeer at us. For some time I was afraid that some day I also might not
be convinced of the futility of our own programme. That was a turning
point in my revolutionary career. "Study" was the cry that reverberated
in the corridors of my mind. Study to enable yourself to face the arguments
advanced by opposition. Study to arm yourself with arguments in favour
of your cult. I began to study. My previous faith and convictions underwent
a remarkable modification. The Romance of the violent methods alone
which was so prominent amongst our predecessors, was replaced by serious
ideas. No more mysticism, no more blind faith. Realism became our cult.
Use of force justifiable when resorted to as a matter of terrible necessity:
non-violence as policy indispensable for all mass movements. So much
about methods. The most important thing was the clear conception of
the ideal for which we were to fight, As there were no important activities
in the field of action I got ample opportunity to study various ideals
of the world revolution. I studied Bakunin, the Anarchist leader, something
of Marx the father of Communism and much of Lenin, Trotsky and others
the men who had successfully carried out a revolution in their country.
They were all atheists. Bakunin's "God and State", though only
fragmentary, is an interesting study of the subject. Later still I came
across a book entitled 'Common Sense' by Nirlamba Swami. It was
only a sort of mystic atheism. This subject became of utmost interest
to me. By the end of 1926 I had been convinced as to the baselessness
of the theory of existence of an almighty supreme being who created,
guided and controlled the universe. I had given out this disbelief of
mine. I began discussion on the subjects with my friends. I had become
a pronounced atheist. But, what it meant will presently be discussed.


In May
1927 I was arrested at Lahore. The arrest was a surprise. I was quite
unaware of the fact that the police wanted me. All of a sudden while
passing through a garden I found myself surrounded by police. To my
own surprise, I was very calm at that time. I did not feel any sensation,
neither did I experience any excitement. I was taken into police custody.
Next day I was taken to the Railway Police lock-up where I was to pass
full one month. After many day's conversation with the Police officials
I guessed that they had some information regarding my connection with
the Kakori Party and my other activities in connexion with the revolutionary
movement. They told me that I had been to Lucknow while the trial was
going on there, that I had negotiated a certain scheme about their rescue,
that after obtaining their approval, we had procured some bombs, that
by way of test one of the bombs was thrown in the crowd on the occasion
of Dussehra 1926. They further informed me, in my interest, that if
I could give any statement throwing some light on the activities of
the revolutionary party, I was not to be imprisoned but on the contrary
set free and rewarded even without being produced as an approver in
the Court. I laughed at the proposal. It was all humbug. People holding
ideas like ours do not throw bombs on their own innocent people. One
fine morning Mr. New man, the then Senior Superintendent of C.I.D.,
came to me. And after much sympathetic talk with me imparted-to
him-the extremely sad news that if I did not give any statement as demanded
by them, they would be forced to send me up for trial for conspiracy
to wage war in connection with Kakori Case and for brutal murders in
connection with Dussehra Bomb outrage. And he further informed me that they
had evidence enough to get me convicted and hanged. In those days I
believed-though I was quite innocent-the police could do it if they desired.
That very day certain police officials began to persuade me to offer my prayers
to God regularly both the times. Now I-was an atheist. I wanted to settle for
myself whether it was in the days of peace and enjoyment alone that I could
boast of being an atheist or whether during such hard times as well I could
stick to those principles of mine. After great consideration I decided that I
could not lead myself to believe in and pray to God. No, I never did. That was
the real test and I came, out successful. Never for a moment did I desire to
save my neck at the cost of
certain other things. So I was a staunch disbeliever : and have ever
since been. It was not an easy job to stand that test. 'Belief'
softens the hardships, even can make them pleasant. In God man can find
very strong consolation and support. Without Him, I man has to depend
upon himself. To stand upon one's own legs amid storms and hurricanes
is not a child's play. At such testing moments, vanity-if any-evaporates,
and man cannot dare to defy the general beliefs, if he does, then we
must conclude that he has got certain other strength than mere vanity.
This is exactly the situation now. Judgment is already too well known.
Within a week it is to be pronounced. What is the consolation with the
exception of the idea that I am going to sacrifice my life for a cause
? A God-believing Hindu might be expecting to be reborn as a king, a
Muslim or a Christian might dream of the luxuries to be- enjoyed in
paradise and the reward he is to get for his sufferings and sacrifices.
But what am I to expect? I know the moment the rope is fitted round
my neck and rafters removed, from under my feet. that will be the final
moment-that will be the last moment. I, or to be more precise, my soul,
as interpreted in the metaphysical terminology, shall all be finished
there. Nothing further. A short life of struggle with no such magnificent
end, shall in itself be the reward if I have the courage to take it
in that light. That is all. With no selfish motive, or desire to be
awarded here or hereafter, quite disinterestedly have I devoted my life
to the cause of independence, because I could not do otherwise. The
day we find a great number of men and women with this psychology who
cannot devote themselves to anything else than the service of mankind
and emancipation of the suffering humanity; that day shall inaugurate
the era of liberty. Not to become a king, nor to gain any other rewards
here, or in the next birth or after death in paradise, shall they be
inspired to challenge the oppressors, exploiters, and tyrants, but to
cast off the yoke of serfdom from the neck of humanity and to establish
liberty and peace shall they tread this-to their individual selves perilous
and to their noble selves the only glorious imaginable-path. Is the
pride in their noble cause to be - misinterpreted as vanity? Who dares
to utter such an abominable epithet? To him, I say either he is a fool
or a knave. Let us forgive him for he can not realize the depth, the
emotion, the sentiment and the noble feelings that surge in that heart.
His heart is dead as a mere lump of flesh, his eyes are-weak, the evils
of other interests having been cast over them. Self-reliance is always
liable to be interpreted as vanity. It is sad and miserable but there
is no help.


You go and oppose
the prevailing faith, you go and criticise a hero, a great man, who
is generally believed to be above criticism because he is thought to
be infallible, the strength of your argument shall force the multitude
to decry you as vainglorious. This is due to the mental stagnation,
Criticism and independent thinking are the two indispensable qualities
of a revolutionary. Because Mahatmaji is great, therefore none should
criticise him. Because he has risen above, therefore everything he says-may
be in the field of Politics
or Religion, Economics or Ethics-is right. Whether you are convinced
or not you must say, "Yes, that's true". This mentality does not
lead towards progress. It is rather too obviously, reactionary.


Because our
forefathers had set up a faith in some supreme, being-the Al mighty God-
therefore any man who dares to challenge the validity of that faith, or the very
existence of that supreme being, he shall have to be called an apostate, a
renegade. If his arguments are too sound to be refuted by counter-arguments and
spirit too strong to be cowed down by the threat of misfortunes that may befall
him by the wrath of the Almighty-he shall be decried as vainglorious, his spirit
to be denominated as vanity. Then why to waste time in this vain discussion? Why
try to argue out the whole thing? This question is coming before the public for
the first time, and is being handled in this matter of fact way for the first
time, hence this lengthy discussion.


As for
the first question, I think I have cleared that it is not vanity that
has led me to atheism. My way of argument has proved to be convincing
or not, that is to be judged by my readers, not me. I know in the present,
circumstances my faith in God would have made my life easier, my burden
lighter and my disbelief in Him has turned all the circumstances too
dry and the situation may assume too harsh a shape. A little bit of
mysticism can make it poetical. But I, do not want the help of any intoxication
to meet my fate. I am a realist. I have been trying to overpower the
instinct in me by the help of reason. I have not always been successful
in achieving this end. But man's duty is to try and endeavour, success
depends upon chance and environments.


As for
the second question that if it was not vanity, then there ought to be
some reason to disbelieve the old and still prevailing faith of the
existence of God. Yes; I come to that now Reason there is. According
to. me, any man who has got some reasoning power at his command always
tries to reason out his environments. Where direct proofs are lacking
philosophy occupies the important place. As I have already stated, a
certain revolutionary friend used to say that Philosophy is the outcome
of human weakness. When our ancestors had leisure enough to try to solve
out the mystery of this world, its past, present and the future,
its whys and wherefores, they having been terribly short of direct proofs,
everybody tried to solve the problem in his own way. Hence we find the
wide differences in the fundamentals of various religious creeds, which
some times assume very antagonistic and conflicting shapes. Not only
the Oriental and Occidental philosophies differ, there are differences
even amongst various schools of thoughts in each hemisphere. Amongst
Oriental religions, the Moslem faith is not at all compatible with Hindu
faith. In India alone Buddhism and Jainism are sometimes quite separate
from Brahmanism, in which there are again conflicting faiths as Arya
Samaj and Sanatan Dharma. Charwak is still another independent thinker
of the past ages. He challenged the authority of God in the old times.
All these creeds differ from each other on the fundamental question.,
and everybody considers himself to be on the right. There lies the misfortune.
Instead of using the experiments and expressions of the ancient Savants
and thinkers as a basis for our future struggle against ignorance and
to try to find out a solution to this mysterious problem, we lethargical
as we have proved to be raise the hue and cry of faith, unflinching
and unwavering faith to their versions and thus are guilty of stagnation
in human progress.


Any man
who stands for progress has to criticise, disbelieve and challenge every item of the old faith.
Item by item he has to reason out every nook and corner of the prevailing
faith. If after considerable reasoning one is led to believe in any
theory or philosphy, his faith is welcomed. His reasoning can be mistaken,
wrong, misled and sometimes fallacious. But he is liable to correction
because reason is the guiding star of his life. But mere faith and blind
faith is dangerous: it dulls the brain, and makes a man reactionary.
A man who claims to be a realist has to challenge the whole of the ancient
faith. If it does not stand the onslaught of reason it crumbles down.
Then the first thing for him is to shatter the whole down and clear
a space for the erection of a new philosophy. This is the negative side.
After it begins the positive work in which sometimes some material of
the old faith may be used for the purpose of reconstruction. As far
as I am concerned, let me admit at the very outset that I have not been
able to study much on this point. I had a great desire to study the
Oriental Philosophy but I could not get any chance or opportunity to
do the same. But so far as the negative study is under discussion, I
think I am convinced to the extent of questioning the soundness of the
old faith. I have been convinced as to non-existence of a conscious
supreme being who is guiding and directing the movements of nature.
We believe in nature and the whole progressive movement aims at the
domination of man over nature for his service. There is no conscious
power behind it to direct. This is what our philosophy is.


As for the
negative side. we ask a few questions from the 'believers'.


(1) If,
as you believe, there is an almighty, omnipresent, omniscient and omnipotent
God-who created the earth or world, please let me know why did he creat
it ? This world of woes and miseries, a veritable, eternal combination
of number less tragedies: Not a single soul being perfectly satisfied.


Pray,
don't say that it is His Law: If he is bound by any law, he is not
omnipotent. He is another slave like ourselves. Please don't say that
it is his enjoyment. Nero burnt one Rome. He killed a very limited number
of people. He created very few tragedies, all to his perfect enjoyment.
And what is his place in History ? By what names do the historians mention
him? All the venomous epithets are showered upon him. Pages are blackened
with invective diatribes condemning Nero, the tyrant, the heartless,
the wicked. One Changezkhan sacrificed a few thousand lives to seek
pleasure in it and we hate the very name. Then how are you going to
justify your almighty, eternal Nero, who has been, and is still causing
numberless tragedies every day, every hour and every minute ? How do
you think to support his misdoings which surpass those of Changez every
single moment? I say why did he create this world-a veritable hell,
a place of constant and bitter unrest ? Why did the Almighty create
man when he had the power not to do it ? What is the justification for
all this ? Do you say to award the innocent sufferers hereafter and
to punish the wrong-doers as well? Well, well: How far shall you justify
a man who may dare to inflict wounds upon your body to apply a very
soft and soothing liniment upon it afterwards? How far the supporters
and organisers of the Gladiator Institution were justified in throwing
men before the half starved furious lions to be cared for and well looked
after if they could survive and could manage to escape death by the
wild beasts? That is why I ask, 'Why did the conscious supreme being
created this world and man in it? To seek pleasure? Where then is the
difference between him and Nero'?


You Mohammadens
and Christians : Hindu Philosophy shall still linger on to offer another argument.
I ask you what is your answer to the above-mentioned question ? You
don't believe in previous birth. Like Hindus you cannot advance the
argument of previous misdoings of the apparently quite innocent suferers?
I ask you why did the omnipotent labour for six days to create the world
through word and each day to say that all was well. Call him today.
Show him the past history. Make him study the present situation. Let
us see if he dares to say, "All is well",


From
the dungeons of prisons, from the stores of starvation consuming
millions upon millions of human beings in slums and huts, from the
exploited labourers, patiently or say apathetically watching the
procedure of their blood being sucked by the Capitalist vampires, and
the wastage of human energy that will make a man with the least common
sense shiver with horror, and from the preference of throwing the
surplus of production in oceans rather than to distribute amongst the
needy producers-to the palaces of kings built upon the foundation
laid with human bones…. let him see all this and let him say "All is
well". Why and wherefore ? That is my question.You are silent. All
right then, I proceed. Well, you Hindus, you say all the present
sufferers belong to the class of sinners of the previous births.Good.
You say the present oppressors were saintly people in their
previous births, hence they enjoy power. Let me admit that your
ancestors were very shrewed people, they tried to find out theories
strong enough to hammer down all the efforts of reason and disbelief.
But let us analyse how far this argument can really stand.


From the
point of view of the most famous jurists punishment can be justified
only from three or four ends to meet which it is inflicted upon the
wrongdoer. They are retributive, reformative and deterrent. The retributive
theory is now being condemned by all the advanced thinkers. Deterrent
theory is also following the same fate. Reformative theory is the only
one which is essential, and indispensable for human progress. It aims
at returning the offender as a most competent and a peace-loving citizen
to the society. But what is the nature of punishment inflicted by God
upon men even if we suppose them to be offenders. You say he sends them
to be born as a cow, a cat, a tree, a herb or a beast. You enumerate
these punishments to be 84 lakhs. I ask you what is its reformative
effect upon man ? How many men have met you who say that they were born
as a donkey in previous birth for having committed any sin ? None. Don't
quote your Puranas. I have no scope to touch your mythologies. Moreover
do you know that the greatest sin in this world is to be poor. Poverty
is a sin, it is a punishment. I ask you how far would you appreciate
a criminologist, a jurist or a legislator who proposes such measures
of punishment which shall inevitably force man to commit more offences
? Had not your God thought of this or he also had to learn these things
by experience, but at the cost of untold sufferings to be borne by.
humanity ? What do you think shall be the fate of a man who has been
born in a poor and illiterate family of say a chamar or a sweeper. He
is poor, hence he cannot study. He is hated and shunned by his fellow
human beings who think themselves to be his superiors having been born
in say a higher caste. His ignorance, his poverty and the treatment
meted out to him shall harden his heart towards society. Suppose he
commits a sin, who shall bear the consequences? God, he or the learned
ones of, the society ? What about the punishment of those people who
were deliberately kept ignorant by the haughty and egotist Brahmans
and who had to pay the penalty by bearing the stream of being led (not
lead) in their ears for having heard a few sentences of your Sacred
Books of learning-the Vedas ? If they committed any offence- who was to be responsible
for them and who was to bear the brunt? My dear friends: These theories
are the inventions of the privileged ones: They justify their usurped
power, riches and superiority by the help of these theories. Yes: It
was perhaps Upton Sinclair, that wrote at some place, that just make
a man a believer in immortality and then rob him of all his riches,
and possessions. He shall help you even in that ungrudgingly. The coalition
amongst the religious preachers and possessors of power brought forth
jails, gallows, knouts and these theories.


I ask
why your omnipotent God, does not stop every man when he is committing
any sin or offence ? He can do it quite easily. Why did he not kill
war lords or kill the fury of war in them and thus avoid the catastrophe
hurled down on the head of humanity by the Great War? Why does he not
just produce a certain sentiment in the mind of the British people to
liberate India? Why does he not infuse the althuistic enthusiasm in
the hearts of all capitalists to forgo their rights of personal possessions
of means of production and thus redeem the whole labouring community-nay
the whole human society from the bondage of Capitalism. You want to
reason out the practicability of socialist theory, I leave it for your
almighty to enforce it. People recognize the merits of socialism in
as much as the general welfare is concerned. They oppose it under the
pretext of its being impracticable. Let the Almighty step in and arrange
everything in an orderly fashion. Now don't try to advance round about
arguments, they are out of order. Let me tell you, British rule is here
not because God wills it but because they possess power and we do not
dare to oppose them. Not that it is with the help of God that they are
keeping us under their subjection but it is with the help of guns and
rifles, bomb and bullets, police and millitia and our apathy that they
are successfully committing the most deplorable sin against society-
the outrageous exploitation of one nation by another. Where is God ?
What is he doing ? Is he enjoying all these woes of human race
? A Nero; A change (changez): Down with him :


Do you
ask me how I explain the origin of this world and origion of man ? Alright
I tell you. Charles Darwin has tried to throw some light on the subject.
Study him. Read Soham Swami's "Commonsense". It shall answer your
question to some extent. This is a phenomenon of nature. The accidental
mixture of different substances in the shape of nebulace produced this
earth. When ? Consult history. The same process produced animals and
in the long run man. Read Darwin's 'Origin of Species'. And all
the later progress is due to man's constant conflict with nature and
his efforts to override it. This is the briefest possible explanation
of this phenomenon.


Your other
argument may be just to ask why a child is born blind or lame if not due to his
deeds committed in the previous birth ? This problem has been explained away by
biologists as a more biological phenomenon. According to them the whole burden
rests upon the shoulders of the parents who may be conscious or ignorant of
their own deeds led to mutilation of the child previous to its birth.


Naturally you may ask another question-though
it is quite childish in essence. If no God existed, how did the people
come to believe in him? My answer is clear and brief. As they came to
believe in ghosts, and evil spirits; the only difference is that belief
in God is almost universal and the philosophy well developed. Unlike
certain of the radicals I would not attribute its origin to the ingenuity
of the exploiters who wanted to keep the people under their subjection
by preaching the existence of a supreme being and then claiming
an authority and sanction from him for their
privileged positions. Though I do not differ with them on the essential
point that all faiths, religions, creeds and such other institutions
became in turn the mere supporters of the tyrannical and exploiting
institutions, men and classes. Rebellion against king is always a sin
according to every religion.


As regards
the origin of God my own idea is that having realized the limitations
of man, his weaknesses and shortcoming having been taken into consideration,
God was brought into imaginary existence to encourage man to face boldly
all the trying circumstances, to meet all dangers manfully and to check
and restrain his outbursts in prosperity and affluence. God both with
his private laws and parental generosity was imagined and painted in
greater details. He was to serve as a deterrent factor when his fury
and private laws were discussed so that man may not become a danger
to society. He was to serve as a father, mother, sister and brother, friend and
helpers when his parental qualifications were to be explained. So that
when man be in great distress having been betrayed and deserted by all
friends he may find consolation in the idea that an ever true friend
was still there to help him, to support him and that He was almighty
and could do anything. Really that was useful to the society in the primitive
age. The idea of God is helpful to man in distress.


Society
has to fight out this belief as well as was fought the idol worship
and the narrow conception of religion. Similarly, when man tries to stand
on his own legs, and become a realist he shall have to throw the faith
aside, and to face manfully all the distress, trouble, in which the
circumstances may throw him. That is exactly my state of affairs. It
is not my vanity, my friends. It is my mode of thinking that has made
me an atheist. I don't know whether in my case belief in God and offering
of daily prayers which I consider to be most selfish and degraded act
on the part of man, whether these prayers can prove to be helpful or
they shall make my case worse still. I have read of atheists facing
all troubles quite boldly, so am I trying to stand like a man with an
erect head to the last; even on the gallows.


Let us see how
I carry on : one friend asked me to pray. When informed of my atheism, he said,
"During your last days you will begin to believe". I said, No, dear Sir, it
shall not be. I will think that to be an act of degradation and demoralization
on my part. For selfish motives I am not going to pray. Readers and friends, "Is
this vanity"? If it is, I stand for it.*



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You can predict

This article is part of


The "science"
of Palmistry-I -
Narendra Nayak

at Indian Sceptic site

These
are the predictions and character traits that will be admitted by 95%
of the people as applicable to them:


  1. 
You are a strong personality and will do things exactly the way you
want.


  2. 
You get plenty of money but it just gets spent( even a beggar will agree
with that)


  3. 
You get self doubts many times, but finally you take the right decision.


  4. 
You are a very generous person.


  5. 
You are liked very much by your friends and family.


  6. 
(for the married) Your married life had problems initially, but they
sorted themselves out.


  7.  
You had a lot of illness in your child hood.


  8.  
Your child hood was a very happy period which you are now missing as
an adult.


  9.  
(for the unmarried adult) You are in search of the right partner, you
have thought of quite a few ones but have yet to meet the right one.


  10. 
Your choicest of food is .. (fill up the blank after finding
out whether the person is a vegetarian.)( you may get into trouble if
you say chicken Manchurian for an orthodox vegetarian Brahmin lady!)


  11.
Your lucky color is .. (note the color of the clothes the person
is wearing).


  12. 
Your lucky number is . ( anything from 0 to 9 will do. Who will bother
any way?)


When
talking of the future say something good so that the person will be
happy. Who  will  come back and verify that? But be careful
if you predict something bad!



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Question on Beliefs

These were questions found on Indian Skeptic site. Ask yourself and try to answer

1) Are soul and consciousness words synonyms and two sides of the same coin
or have different meaning?


2) What are soul and consciousness? Fields, waves, elements or a sort of energy
yet not known to science?


3) Have soul and consciousness three dimensions?

4) Do the unobservable soul and consciousness convert into physical form after
they depart from the body of a dead person? The question arises as a
person with near-death experience sees his relatives and personal deity
in a physical form?

5) Do soul and consciousness possess body organs such as eyes,ears, tongues

etc? The question arises as the spirits of the dead persons speak with
the psychics.


6) Can soul and consciousness of a person also be wounded when his physical
body gets wounded by a knife or a bullet?


7) How long, soul or consciousness remains suspended in space or field
before they are reincarnated on the Earth?


8) Who decides which soul or consciousness would enter into a fertilised
ovum of a particular woman? Have they freedom to make their own choice
to select their mother and place of birth?


9) How they know that a particular ovum in a womb of a particular woman
is ready to receive soul or consciousness?


10) Does soul or conscious has sex? In rebirth, can soul or consciousness of
a maJe take birth as a woman or vice versa?


11) Can a Christian soul or consciousness take birth as non-Christian or vice
versa?


12) Does human soul or consciousness in rebirth be human only or it can be an
animal bird etc? What happens to consciousness of a human if in his
next birth he is borne as non-human being?


13) To whom prayers are addressed? If not to any personal god to whom they
are addressed? If prayers are made by the Christians, will they help
non-christians, or vice versa?


14) The experiments to prove telepathy, clairvoyance, ESP etc. have been carried
on since last 75-100 years. After every experiment, the researchers
declare that their experiments were encouraging, promising, partly or
sometimes astonishingly successful. But up to this date, nobody has
been successful to prove beyond doubt that telepathy, ESP etc, are not
myths but scientific facts.

How many more years would be required to prove its validity?



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Descent of the Tiger

I have been and always will be a fan of Sourav Ganguly, the leader who
inspired India and helped the nation make serious headlines on the
sports page. All through his troubled career graph we, the fans, have
supported him due to his solid leadership quality and explosive nature.
We cant forget some of these images and the beauty he had added to left
hand batting.

The
way he stepped out to lift the ball out of the ground was simple
breathtaking each time we see it. In earlier days the way he bisected
the offside field no matter how the field was set made all fielders
look like clowns on the field. When he was the captain the team had
some one to look up to and he was solid with his vision and decisions.
Under him a new Indian cricket team was formed which ultimately
reflected with the group hug and team spirit. Although there were rough
patches and sour sessions, we believers always have seen his come back
and prove yet again how good he really was.

Being
a prince off ground he had this inherent talent to lead and some times
this proved extreme for others. But we can easily forget all that, for
Sourav Ganguly is not a captain, or a cricketer alone, he is a Legend.

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A Trip to Kumarakom

Check these photos

It was yet another marriage and this time it was one of our ex staff. The function was at nooranad off pandalam. Everything went smoother and we had the sadya much early than expected. All had full stomach as we had to have 2 sets of food within a couple of hours. Now we were free to roam around and see some places. But the native Abhilash told us that there is not much to see close by. We had the only option of Pandalam palace, which turned out to be an old place where the current generation of the royal family now reside. One old grand mother was there to tell us about the place and from the way she carried herself around i guess she was the eldest of the royal family. There was nothing much to see other than the architecture, the temple near by, the old manuscripts locked and being worshiped inside the palace and pampa river. We had hired a tavera and traveled 3hours and we had to go some place to make it all count, well more than the marriage. So the idea popped up to go to Kumarakom. Although i had been to this place with some unforgettable memories, i supported the idea as i thought there may be other things to see which i had missed out.

It turned out that i had missed nothing. The main attractions of the place is its scenic back waters offering house boats and stay in some expensive resorts. Another specialty was the bird sanctuary, food and some massage. Well we opted for the package offered at the bird sanctuary. Rs 275 for boating for us all for half an hour. We could buy beer also to drink in the boat. Now that was a pleasure as all were thirsty and the occasion was really nice. It was a small boat which accommodated about 12-15 ppl max. We were 7 and all cooperated with finishing of the beer bottles. Eldhose and devraj had the opinion that the beer was quite ordinary without any effect at all. Sometimes i also think that the beers offered at KTDC are a little too mild.

From Kumarakom

Anyways the trip was soothing and we got to see some 5 different migratory birds including the pelican. We also saw some resorts facing the backwaters and also some huge houseboats with many modern amenities. For a couple 1 day cost around 7000rupees on a house boat. For the resort where individual cottage was worth 15000 per day, you get an individual pool to bath in. Now that was interesting. The boatman offered and extension of this trip to another half hour for double pay which was turned down by us. We needed to have a walk to digest all that we had taken and then after that we planned for some great fooding.

From Kumarakom

We started out trip down the lane towards the forest. All the guards pointed out that there wont be any birds at this time. After the trip when we look back i realize that all the birds can be seen on the boat trip and none were seen during the walk in the sanctuary. The walk was along the back water with the forest to our other side.

From Kumarakom

At the end of the lane we reached the backwater channel which connected the different jettys. There was a sign board which detailed the distance to important places near by. We could see the resort to the other side of the back waters. We spent some time relaxing and talking and then decided to return. One the way we saw an ‘Udunbu’ which is an ant eater. This one was really huge but we could only get a glimpse of it as it vanished into the forest. On our way back we decided to have food from a toddy shop. We got one offering all kinds of exotic curries just close by.

From Kumarakom

The food consisted of ‘Kappa’(Cooked tapioca),’Appam’, ‘Meen curry gravy’(Fish curry gravy), ‘Pallathy Porichathu’(Fish fry), ‘Njandu’(crab curry), ‘Koonthal curry’,”Chemmen fry’(Prawns fry) and some exotic ‘Mundiri Kallu’ (Grape Toddy). It was a feast and all were filled up as we started our trip back.


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Clean ur views

Yet another of good fwds.
A young couple moves into a new neighborhood. The next morning, while they are eating breakfast, the young woman sees her neighbor hang the wash outside.
That laundry is not very clean, she said, she doesn’t know how to wash correctly. Perhaps she needs better laundry soap.
Her husband looked on, but remained silent. Every time her neighbor would hang her wash to dry, the young woman would make the same comments.

About one month later, the woman was surprised to see a nice clean wash on the line and said to her husband: “Look! She has learned how to wash correctly. I wonder who taught her this.”
The husband said: “I got up early this morning and cleaned our windows!”

And so it is with life: “What we see when watching others depends on the purity of the window through which we look. Before we give any criticism, it might be a good idea to check our state of mind and ask ourselves if we are ready to see the good rather than to be looking for something in the person we are about to judge. “

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Petro dollar or Petro Euro




When you get just read this..
Its very informative for non-Americans



Petrodollar or Petroeuro?


Cóilín Nunan



The current political and economic rift between the US and
the European Union has been called a clash of civilizations. Its major cause is
a struggle over the gains to be had from producing the world’s leading currency


No observer of the lead-up to the war in Iraq and its
aftermath could have failed to notice that the level of cooperation between
Europe and America was extremely low. France and Germany were very strong
opponents of the US/UK invasion and even after the war was declared over,
disagreements persisted over the lifting of sanctions and how Iraq should be
run. So was this just a one-off tiff or was it a symptom of deeper flaws in the
relationship? I believe that the war on Iraq illustrated for the first time that
continental Europe, led by France and Germany, no longer wishes to follow the
Americans politically, although what has been termed a ‘clash of
civilisations’1 is
probably better viewed as a ‘clash of economies’.


While disagreements over the US trade barriers on steel
imports or the European restrictions on imports of American genetically modified
crops have attracted widespread comment, the most intense economic rivalry of
all has received far less media attention than it perhaps should: this is the
rivalry between the dollar and the euro for the position of world reserve
currency, a privileged status that has been held by the dollar ever since the
Bretton Woods agreement nearly 60 years ago.


At present, approximately two thirds of world trade is
conducted in dollars and two thirds of central banks’ currency reserves are held
in the American currency which remains the sole currency used by international
institutions such as the IMF. This confers on the US a major economic advantage:
the ability to run a trade deficit year after year. It can do this because
foreign countries need dollars to repay their debts to the IMF, to conduct
international trade and to build up their currency reserves. The US provides the
world with these dollars by buying goods and services produced by foreign
countries, but since it does not have a corresponding need for foreign currency,
it sells far fewer goods and services in return, i.e. the US always spends more
than it earns, whereas the rest of the world always earns more than it spends.
This US trade deficit has now reached extraordinary levels, with the US
importing 50% more goods and services than it exports. So long as the dollar
remains the dominant international currency the US can continue consuming more
than it produces and, for example, build up its military strength while
simultaneously affording tax cuts.


Getting a share of this economic free lunch has been one of
the motivations, and perhaps the main motivation, behind setting up the
euro2 .
Were the euro to become a reserve currency equal to, or perhaps even instead of,
the dollar, countries would reduce their dollar holdings while building up their
euro savings. Another way of putting this would be to say that Eurozone
countries would be able to reduce their subsidy to American consumption and
would find that other countries were now subsidising Eurozone consumption
instead.


A move away from the dollar towards the euro could, on the
other hand, have a disastrous effect on the US economy as the US would no longer
be able to spend beyond its means. Worse still, the US would have to become a
net currency importer as foreigners would probably seek to spend back in the US
a large proportion of the estimated three trillion dollars which they currently
own. In other words, the US would have to run a trade surplus, providing the
rest of the world with more goods and services than it was receiving in return.
A rapid and wholesale move to the euro might even lead to a dollar crash as
everyone sought to get rid of some, or all, of their dollars at the same time.
But that is an outcome that no-one, not even France or Germany, is seeking
because of the huge effect it would have on the world economy. Europe would much
prefer to see a gradual move to a euro-dollar world, or even a euro-dominated
one.









A move away from the dollar
towards the euro could have a disastrous effect on the US economy


It turns out that there is a small group of countries which
is playing the arbiter in this global contest. These are the world’s oil
exporters, in particular OPEC and Russia. Ever since the days when the US
dominated world oil production, sales of oil and natural gas on international
markets have been exclusively denominated in dollars. This was partly a natural
state of affairs since, up until the early 1950s, the US accounted for half or
more of the world’s annual oil production. The tendency to price in dollars was
additionally reinforced by the Bretton Woods agreement which established the IMF
and World Bank and adopted the dollar as the currency for international loans.


The vast majority of the world’s countries are oil importers
and, since oil is such a crucial commodity, the need to pay for it in dollars
encourages these countries keep the majority of their foreign currency reserves
in dollars not only to be able to buy oil directly but also to protect the value
of their own currencies from falling against the dollar. Because a sudden
devaluation of a country’s currency against the dollar would lead to a jump in
oil prices and a possible economic crisis, every country’s central bank needs
dollar reserves so as to be able to buy its own currency on the foreign exchange
markets when its value needs to be supported.


The fact that oil sales and loans from the IMF are
dollar-denominated also encourages poorer countries to denominate their exports
in dollars as this minimises the risk of losses through any fluctuations in the
value of the dollar. The knock-on effect of this is that, since many of these
exports are essential raw materials which richer countries need to import, their
denomination in dollars reinforces the need for rich countries to keep their own
currency reserves in dollars.


While the denomination of oil sales is not a subject which
is frequently discussed in the media, its importance is certainly well
understood by governments. For example, when in 1971 President Nixon took the US
off the gold standard, OPEC did consider moving away from dollar oil pricing, as
dollars no longer had the guaranteed value they once did. The US response was to
do various secret deals with Saudi Arabia in the 1970s to ensure that the
world’s most important oil exporter stuck with the dollar3 .
What the Saudis did, OPEC followed. More recently, in June 2003, the Prime
Minister of Malaysia publicly encouraged his country’s oil and gas exporters to
move from the dollar to the euro. The European and American reactions were polar
opposites: the EU’s Energy Commissioner, Loyola de Palacio, welcomed the
suggestion, saying that ‘in the future the euro is [going to be] taking a place
in the international markets in general as the money of exchange’ and that this
was ‘a matter of realism’4 .
Her counterpart in the US, the director of the Energy Information
Administration, Guy Caruso, said that he couldn’t see ‘any particular merit’ in
the move and that over the long run ‘the dollar’s always won out’5
. Either way, Malaysia is only a relatively minor oil exporter, so what it
does can only have a very limited effect. A switch by a major oil exporter would
be of far greater significance.


The first country to actually make the switch was a very
important oil exporter indeed: Iraq, in November 20006
,7 .
Before the war in Iraq began, some observers, myself included, argued that this
might well be a major reason for the US desire to invade and the strong
Franco-German opposition to the invasion8
,9 .
Corroborating evidence included the apparent influence which loyalty (or lack
thereof) to the dollar seemed to have on the US attitude towards other OPEC
members. Iran had been talking of selling its own oil for euros6 ,10
and was subsequently included in George Bush’s ‘axis of evil’. Venezuela,
another important oil exporter, had started bartering some of its oil, thus
avoiding the use of the dollar, and was encouraging OPEC to do likewise11 -
and the US was widely suspected in having played a part in the attempted coup
against the Venezuelan president, Hugo Chavez.


Semi-official confirmation that petro-currency rivalry was
at the heart of the split between France and Germany, on the one hand, and the
US, on the other, was provided by Howard Fineman, the chief political
correspondent for Newsweek, in an article he wrote in April 2003, in the
aftermath of the war. The Europeans and Americans were then arguing over whether
the UN’s oil-for-food programme in Iraq should remain in place or not. Using the
term ‘clash of civilisations’ to describe the divide which was developing,
Fineman explained that the disagreement had little to do with the French calls
for the search for weapons of mass destruction to resume and for sanctions to
remain in place until the search was complete. Instead, Fineman said, it was
mainly about the dollar vs the euro. Citing White House officials and a
presidential aide, he explained that the dispute between the two continents was
really about ‘who gets to sell - and buy - Iraqi oil, and what form of currency
will be used to denominate the value of the sales. That decision, in turn, will
help decide who controls Iraq, which, in turn, will represent yet another
skirmish in a growing global economic conflict. We want a secular,
American-influenced pan-ethnic entity of some kind to control the massive oil
fields (Iraq’s vast but only real source of wealth). We want that entity to be
permitted to sell the oil to whomever it wants, denominated in dollars.’ Fineman
concluded his article by confidently predicting that future Iraqi oil sales
would be switched back to dollars1
.


Fineman’s White House sources would appear to have been
reliable as that is precisely what has happened: when Iraqi oil exports resumed
in June of last year, it was announced that payment would be in dollars
only12
 13 .
It was also decided that the billions of Iraqi euros which were being held in a
euro account, controlled by the UN under the oil-for-food programme, were to be
transferred into the Development Fund for Iraq, a dollar account controlled by
the US13
 14
 15
.


Furthermore, Youssef Ibrahim, a former senior Middle East
correspondent for the New York Times and energy editor on the Wall Street
Journal, who is a member of the influential Council on Foreign Relations, has
called Iraq’s switch to the euro ‘another reason’ for the war, saying that a
general move by oil producers to the euro would be a ‘catastrophe’ for the
US16 .


America’s willingness to use violence to defend its economic
interests does not seem to have reduced the number of oil exporters considering
switching to the euro as they recognise that their use of the dollar enables the
US to build up its military strength. In addition to Malaysia, Indonesia has the
switch under consideration17
while Iran has been shifting its currency reserves into euros. Moreover,
according to the Vice-President of the Iranian central bank, it has actually
sold some of its oil to Europe for euros and is encouraging members of an Asian
trade organisation, the Asian Clearing Union, to pay for Iranian oil in the
European currency18 .
Along with Malaysia, it is also at the forefront of efforts to establish a new
gold-backed currency, the Islamic Gold Dinar, to be used in international trade
amongst Muslim countries instead of both the dollar and the euro19 .
In a further development, in June 2004, Iran announced that it had plans to
establish an oil-trading market for Middle Eastern and OPEC producers which
could threaten the dominance of London’s International Petroleum Exchange and
New York’s Nymex20 .
Such a move could help remove some of the technical difficulties that exist with
a switch away from dollar-denomination of oil sales.









the US has refused to get
involved in direct talks with the Iranian government which it views as
‘evil’.


It is therefore not surprising to find that, just as with
Iraq, the European Union and the US are dealing with Iran in very different
ways. While the EU has been holding trade negotiations with Iran21 and involved
in dialogue about its nuclear programme, the US has refused to get involved in
direct talks with the Iranian government which it views as ‘evil’. The American
Enterprise Institute, a highly influential American ‘think tank’, has in fact
been actively calling for ‘regime change’22
and, although this policy has yet to be officially endorsed by the Bush
administration, in July 2004 it was claimed in the British press that a senior
official of the Bush administration had indicated that, if re-elected, Bush
would intervene in the internal affairs of Iran in an attempt to overturn the
Iranian government23
 24
.


European enthusiasm for the ‘petroeuro’ also appears
undampened by the US takeover of Iraq. Since the war, the European Union has
been actively encouraging Russia, another opponent of the US invasion, to move
to euro oil and gas sales. In October 2003, during a joint press conference with
Germany’s Prime Minister Gerhard Schroeder, the Russian President Vladimir Putin
declared that Russia was thinking about selling its oil for euros. A few days
later, the European Commission President, Romano Prodi, said, after a summit
between Russia and the European Union, that Russia was now drawn to having its
imports and exports denominated in euros25
 26
.


In December 2003, speculation about the future roles of the
dollar and the euro increased when OPEC Secretary General Alvaro Silva, a former
Venezuelan oil minister, said that the organisation was now considering trading
in euros or in a basket of currencies other than the dollar, as the US currency
was declining in value27 .
Although a few days later the Saudi oil minister Ali al-Naimi said that OPEC
would not be discussing a switch to the euro at its next meeting (comments
reinforced by the Qatari President of OPEC and the Algerian oil minister28 ),
articles discussing a possible move continued to appear in the media29
 30
and the euro’s value against the dollar soared. Despite the speculation,
no decision to move to the euro was taken at OPEC’s meeting in early February
2004 and thereafter the euro’s value fell back again.


In fact, close inspection of the dollar-euro exchange rate
shows that since the euro’s introduction in January 1999, petro-currency rivalry
appears to have played an important part in swinging the rate one way or the
other (see Graph). The markets, it seems, have noticed the importance of what is
happening. On the other hand, the lack of an open discussion of the issues
suggests that politicians and bankers are keen to move ahead with their plans
with little or no explanation to the general public.



















 

1) January 1999: launch of the euro.


2) January 1999 ­ Oct 2000: euro in “bear
market² versus the dollar.


3) November 2000: Iraq switches oil sales to
euro. Euro’s fall versus the dollar is halted.


4) April 2002: senior OPEC representative gives
speech in which he states that OPEC would consider possibility of selling
oil in euros.


5) April 2002 to May 2003: euro in “bull
market” versus the dollar.


6) June 2003: US switches Iraqi oil sales back
to dollar.


7) June 2003 to September 2003: euro falls
versus dollar.


8) October 2003 to early February 2004:
statements by Russian and OPEC politicians/officials that switch to euro
for oil sales is being considered. Euro’s value versus the dollar
increases.


9) 10 February 2004: OPEC meets and no decision
to switch to euro is taken.


10) February 2004 to May 2004: euro falls
versus the dollar.


11) June 2004: Iran announces intention to
establish oil-trading market to rival those of London and New
York.


12) June 2004: euro’s value versus the dollar
begins to increase
again.


Should we not, however, be debating more openly what kind
(or kinds) of international financial structure(s) we want to adopt, since the
question has potentially huge implications for the stability of the world
economy and for peace and stability in oil-exporting countries? A good starting
point for such a debate would be the recognition that no country or countries
should be allowed to dominate the system by controlling the issuance of the
currency or currencies used. Similarly fundamental would be to prevent any
country from running a persistent trade surplus or deficit so as to avoid the
build up of unjust subsidies, unpayable debts and economic instability. At
Bretton Woods, John Maynard Keynes, who understood how important these two
conditions were, proposed a system which would have met them, but his proposal
was rejected in favour of the dollar31
.


The dollar, though, is no longer a stable, reliable
currency: the IMF has warned that the US trade deficit is so bad that its
currency could collapse at any time32 .
Will we really have to wait for a full-blown dollar crisis before a public
debate about creating a just and sustainable trading system can
begin?



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